January 30th Wei Zhaofeng, deputy director of the China Electricity Council (hereinafter referred to as CEC), revealed recently that the national power demand growth rate in 2012 will fall by about 2 percentage points, and will show a trend of low and high.
Statistics show that in 2011 the country’s entire society used 4.69 trillion kWh of electricity, an increase of 11.7% year-on-year. For the national electricity demand in 2012, CEC initially predicted that the annual electricity consumption will reach 5.13 trillion kWh, which is about 2 percentage points lower than that in 2011.
In addition, the CEC also pointed out that the installed capacity of newly added power in 2012 will be reduced by about 10 million kilowatts from 2011, which is the lowest year since 2006.
Lin Boqiang, energy economic expert and director of the China Energy Economics Center at Xiamen University, told reporters: “It is expected that the growth rate of electricity consumption in 2012 will fall back compared to 2011, and it will be maintained at about 9%, mainly due to the overall economic situation. Impact."
Regarding the situation of power shortage in 2012, Lin Boqiang said: “From the installation perspective, this year's downturn does not have to worry too much about power shortages, because the current installed capacity is still sufficient, and the adverse impact may occur in two years.â€
China Southern Power Grid Company expects that the power demand situation will be severe in 2012, and the entire network will experience continuous power shortages throughout the year. Due to the impact of drought last year and continuous high prices of coal, the lack of coal and water will continue this winter and next spring. The highest load demand in the five southern provinces is expected to reach 134 million kilowatts. The entire network may experience continuous power shortages throughout the year. The gap is between 8 million and 13 million kilowatts, of which 6 million to 10 million kilowatts are in Guangdong; the most difficult one is from March to May before the flood season, and the average power gap will reach around 13 million kilowatts. After the flood season, the gap will depend on river basins in the region. Water situation.
According to the reporter’s understanding, the China Southern Power Grid Company’s proposed target for power sales in 2012 and power transmission from the West to East were 728 billion kWh and 99.3 billion kWh respectively, which was an increase of 8.0% and 3% respectively year-on-year, and the growth rate had declined. According to another understanding, in order to optimize the power grid structure and systematically solve the problem of Yunnan's seasonal energy transmission and power shortage in Guangdong, China Southern Power Grid will complete 65.6 billion yuan of power grid infrastructure projects this year, and will rationally arrange inter-provincial trading plans and reasonably control power gaps in all provinces and regions. At the same time, strictly limit the "two high" companies and industries with excess capacity to use electricity.
Lin Boqiang told reporters that the main problem in the current electricity market is still the price mechanism. If the coal price mechanism cannot be straightened out, the power shortage in 2012 will continue to exist.
Statistics show that in 2011 the country’s entire society used 4.69 trillion kWh of electricity, an increase of 11.7% year-on-year. For the national electricity demand in 2012, CEC initially predicted that the annual electricity consumption will reach 5.13 trillion kWh, which is about 2 percentage points lower than that in 2011.
In addition, the CEC also pointed out that the installed capacity of newly added power in 2012 will be reduced by about 10 million kilowatts from 2011, which is the lowest year since 2006.
Lin Boqiang, energy economic expert and director of the China Energy Economics Center at Xiamen University, told reporters: “It is expected that the growth rate of electricity consumption in 2012 will fall back compared to 2011, and it will be maintained at about 9%, mainly due to the overall economic situation. Impact."
Regarding the situation of power shortage in 2012, Lin Boqiang said: “From the installation perspective, this year's downturn does not have to worry too much about power shortages, because the current installed capacity is still sufficient, and the adverse impact may occur in two years.â€
China Southern Power Grid Company expects that the power demand situation will be severe in 2012, and the entire network will experience continuous power shortages throughout the year. Due to the impact of drought last year and continuous high prices of coal, the lack of coal and water will continue this winter and next spring. The highest load demand in the five southern provinces is expected to reach 134 million kilowatts. The entire network may experience continuous power shortages throughout the year. The gap is between 8 million and 13 million kilowatts, of which 6 million to 10 million kilowatts are in Guangdong; the most difficult one is from March to May before the flood season, and the average power gap will reach around 13 million kilowatts. After the flood season, the gap will depend on river basins in the region. Water situation.
According to the reporter’s understanding, the China Southern Power Grid Company’s proposed target for power sales in 2012 and power transmission from the West to East were 728 billion kWh and 99.3 billion kWh respectively, which was an increase of 8.0% and 3% respectively year-on-year, and the growth rate had declined. According to another understanding, in order to optimize the power grid structure and systematically solve the problem of Yunnan's seasonal energy transmission and power shortage in Guangdong, China Southern Power Grid will complete 65.6 billion yuan of power grid infrastructure projects this year, and will rationally arrange inter-provincial trading plans and reasonably control power gaps in all provinces and regions. At the same time, strictly limit the "two high" companies and industries with excess capacity to use electricity.
Lin Boqiang told reporters that the main problem in the current electricity market is still the price mechanism. If the coal price mechanism cannot be straightened out, the power shortage in 2012 will continue to exist.
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